After each week in the NFL I will do a segment called “NFL
Pecking Order” breaking down what I view as the top ten teams in the NFL at
that time. Unlike most other sites or blog lists ranking NFL teams on a week by
week basis, I look at the big picture instead of just wins and losses. Most
other lists are flawed because they only look at wins and losses, more
specifically on recent wins and losses. For example, if a team is 1-2 with two
road losses to tough teams, it isn’t always correct to rank them behind a 2-1
or even a 3-0 team with less impressive teams. Like I said, I will look at the
teams with a big picture perspective in mind. This should be a very interesting
segment this year because the teams in the league is so close. To me, there
isn’t an enormous gap between the teams I rank 3-5 and the teams I rank 8-10,
and even the teams I leave outside the top 10. With that said, lets rank the
top ten NFL teams heading into week 4 starting with number 10.
10. Green Bay
Packers (1-2, NFC NORTH)
The Green Bay
Packers have lost two games to two teams that rank in the top 10 in my “NFL
Pecking Order” but rank low on this list because of their defense. Their
defense has some nice players on the roster with Clay Mathews and some good
corners but the proof is in the pudding, they can’t stop anyone. This problem
stems from a couple years ago and losing jack of all trades Charles Woodson is
proving very difficult to overcome. They blew a huge 3 score lead to Andy
Dalton and the Bengal’s week. Not a Peyton Manning, Tom
Brady, or Drew Brees led team….Andy Dalton.
That’s not necessarily a knock on Andy Dalton but he’s certainly not among the
leagues elite at QB. With that said, they have arguably the best overall QB in
Aaron Rodgers (who by the way has more competitive nature than anyone and wants
to win), and that weapon alone gives this team the ability to beat anyone in
the league at any time.
9. Baltimore
Ravens (2-1, AFC NORTH)
The
Baltimore Ravens are coming off a resounding win against the Houston Texans in
which they were underdogs at home and faced an early deficit. Once the Ravens
took the lead they did not look back and went on to win 30-9. Many people
doubted the Ravens coming into this season after their Super Victory after
losing huge pieces of their team including their defensive leaders in Ray Lewis
and Ed Reed. They also lost their best linebacker in Dannell Ellerbe and their
best wideout in Anquan Boldin. However, this team knows how to win behind of
one the leagues greatest coaches, John Harbaugh. They won soundly last week
over the Texans despite not having their most lethal weapon in Ray Rice. This
team has the best pass rushing tandem in Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil and
that duo is something most teams in this league would die for. The Ravens
always draft well and they replaced those aging players admirably.
8. Kansas City
Chiefs (3-0, AFC WEST)
The Kansas
City Chiefs are the real deal. This team is not a fluke. Last year they had 6
pro bowl players on a team with the worst record in the league. Insert Andy
Reid. Andy Reid is an excellent coach and just because he went out in losing fashion
with the Eagles doesn’t change that. He has real players on defense with
superior playmakers. This team has real speed on defense and that wins in the
NFL. He’s also surrounded himself with good coaching. He has one of the most
relentless pass rushers that I have ever seen in Tamba Hali and an elite safey,
Eric Berry. This team reminds me of the San Fransisco 49er team that Jim
Harbaugh took over in his first year that I believe was 6-10, and turned into a
13-3 team the next year. Coincidentally, that team was also quarterbacked by
Alex Smith. Alex Smith limits this offense a bit because he does not have a
great upside but they have real weapons in Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe. They
had some really nice pieces that needed the correct coaching scheme and needed
to be introduced to a winning environment. Andy Reid will provide that in KC
and they will make the playoffs.
7. Cincinnati
Bengals (2-1, AFC NORTH)
The
Cincinnati Bengals have one of the most talented rosters, top to bottom, in the
NFL. There is no denying that. The real question is how far can Andy Dalton
take them? He has all the weapons he needs starting with an elite WR, two good
TE’s, two RB’s that complement each other and a great offensive line. I’m not
sure I really trust Marvin Lewis as a head coach to lead them to playoff
victories. To me, the longer a coach stays in one place, the less likely they
are going to succeed. There’s evidence of that all over sports. Bill Cowher in Pittsburgh,
Andy Reid in Philly, just to name a couple. They were both great coaches who were
successful and had their time, but before long, the franchise needs a new face,
a new voice and a kick in the ass and I’m not 100% sure Marvin Lewis brings
that in Cincinnati any longer. With
that said, they are talented and I love their offensive and defensive
coordinators in Jay Gruden and Mike Zimmer. They are deep on defense but the jury
is still out on this team going forward.
6. Indianapolis
Colts (2-1, AFC SOUTH)
The
Indianapolis Colts just pulled off what I thought was one of the most
improbable victories I’ve seen in a while. They beat an enraged 49er team who
was at home coming off an embarrassing national television performance. Coming
into that game Jim Harbaugh had not lost two games in a row in the NFL. I
believe Andrew Luck is an elite QB in this league already. He is young but he
is perhaps the most cerebral QB in the game with the exception of Peyton
Manning. He has a winning pedigree instilled in him that we could all see when
he was winning at Stanford in college being coached by QB guru Jim Harbaugh. No
QB in the league has more 4th quarter comebacks than Andrew Luck since
the beginning of last year when he started his very first NFL game. With the
addition of Trent Richardson they made in the middle of last week, the sky is
the limit for this team and I see them having no problem winning the division
over the Houston Texans this year.
5. Chicago Bears
(3-0, NFC NORTH)
The Chicago
Bears are 3-0 and they are the most impressive 3-0 in the league in my opinion
with wins over the Bengals at home, the Vikings at home, and the Steelers on
the road. I know you are probably saying, “Hey two of those wins are against
winless teams!” Well I will say this. The Vikings are not a bad 0-3 team. They
were a playoff team last year who carry the best RB in the league and have a
good defensive front. The Steelers are indeed a mess but the Bears basically
routed them on national television on Sunday night sending them to 0-3 in their
own stadium. Mike Tomlin and Ben Roethlisberger are among the best in the game
when it comes to winning football games so I do not take that victory lightly
at all. You also read what I said about the Bengals being one of the most
talented rosters, so that impressed me as well. Marc Trestman might have been
just the answer Jay Cutler was looking for to lead this Bears franchise back to
glory. I am still very unsure of the Bears and am very anxious to see how the
year will play out for them. They are unproven, sure, but nonetheless have been
surprisingly impressive so far this year. They face a nice test in a road game
next week versus a division foe in the Detroit Lions so we will see how that
one plays out.
4. New Orleans
Saints (3-0, NFC SOUTH)
I ranked
the New Orleans Saints higher than most probably would but that’s just because
they have taken care of business rather quietly so far this season. They haven’t
looked overly impressive but it has been a year without their coach Sean Payton
and it is going to take some time to get back in the groove of things. While
they have been getting back in the groove of things, they’ve managed to
stockpile 3 wins already. Drew Brees is in charge and Jimmy Graham looks like
the force he was two years ago. Their defense will always be this teams
Achilles heel but they quietly have only given up 17, 14, and 7 points through
the first 3 weeks, so they must be doing something right. They also have one of
the greatest home field advantages playing in the Superdome. Just ask Matt Ryan
how hard it is to win there, because he cannot seem to figure it out.
3. San Fransisco 49ers (1-2, NFC WEST)
The 49ers
have looked rather pedestrian the last two weeks after feeling like they were
on top of the world after an impressive week 1 win over the Packers where
Kaepernick looked simply unstoppable. Since then he has cooled, getting
trounced by the Seahawks and the 12th man and then surprisingly being
handled by the Colts defense. However, I’m not jumping ship on this team. They
are a complete team and Kaepernick is too talented to stay down. They have
perhaps the best coach on the planet in Jim Harbaugh and he will work as hard
as he needs to in order to win. I wouldn’t doubt that this man would divorce
his wife in a second if it meant he could win, he is borderline insane. These
recent failures will only make him work even harder and this team will be fine.
Something that does concern me about this team is losing DE Aldon Smith for an
indefinite period of time while he goes to rehab. He is one of the most
disruptive pass rushers in the game but it is sounding like they might have to
only miss his services for about a month.
2. Denver
Broncos (3-0, AFC WEST)
Peyton
Manning runs this offense like a well oiled machine. This is his second year
with the team and it couldn’t have started any better than it has for Manning
and the Broncos. They have a surplus of offensive weapons that go unmatched.
They have a possession target with great hands and size in Decker, perhaps the
best slot receiver in the game in Welker, and an overall prototypical receiver
who can run after the catch with all the space this offense provides in
Demaryius Thomas. The concern I have with this team is their losses on the
offensive line. They have lost one of the best offensive tackles in the game in
Ryan Clady who gave up only one sack last year and in the preseason they lost
their elite center. If there is any QB in the league who could win a Super Bowl
with a garbage offensive line it would be Peyton because he has the quickest
feet of any QB and gets rid of the ball fast. Their defense has looked the part
so far even without Von Miller. I want to see a team that can effectively get a
pass rush with 3 or 4 lineman and drop 7 or 8 in the secondary who can play
physical and see how Peyton handles that because right now he looks like he is
on a mission and he looks unstoppable.
1.Seattle
Seahawks (3-0, NFC WEST)
The Seahawks were hyped more than
any other team in the league over the offseason and they have more than lived
up to the lofty expectations. Other than maybe Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson is
the most impressive young QB I have ever seen play. He does exactly what he
needs to and runs this offense perfectly. He has a great back in Marshawn Lynch
and when this team runs the read option, the sky is the limit. They have the
greatest home field advantage of any team in the history of sports in my
opinion and if they have that throughout the playoffs they will be next to
impossible to beat. Their defense has been near perfect and they are just
getting back two of their very best defensive players in Clemons on the
defensive line and Browner at corner complementing the best corner in the game,
Richard Sherman. Seattle has a
Super Bowl on their mind.